WEBVTT	#Elemental Media Engine(TM) 2.17.0.0

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DAVID MCKENZIE: The
awful consequence

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of a COVID-19 tsunami.

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It's forcing the
Indian government

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to ban all vaccine exports
to COVAX, the global vaccine

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alliance so it can give precious
doses to its own people,

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immediately impacting at
least 90 million COVAX doses.

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The crisis in India is
causing a crisis here.

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Kenyan and other African nations
where lives depend on COVAX

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are running out of vaccines.

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And tour guide, Martin Mutisya
is one of the very last Kenyans

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to get his first
AstraZeneca shot.

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MARTIN MUTISYA: [laughs]
It is a big moment.

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I'm feeling excited.

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Um, I think we just have to
wait and see what happens.

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DAVID MCKENZIE: Kenya got
around a million doses

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from COVAX produced by
India's Serum Institute.

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Kenya's supply dries up in days.

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MARTIN MUTISYA: I am
concerned, because they

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are supposed to be two shots.

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I am concerned.

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But if it doesn't happen,
what is the worst scenario?

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UHURU KENYATTA: I
want to assure you

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that nobody who has
taken the first dose

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is going to miss out
on their second dose.

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DAVID MCKENZIE:
Does this worry you?

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Because it seems
that it could be

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a scenario that the second
doses don't come in time.

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RUDI EGGERS: So very
clearly it worries me,

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and very clearly the second
doses will not come in time.

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DAVID MCKENZIE: A senior
humanitarian official

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familiar with COVAX's plan told
CNN that the Indian vaccine

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supply isn't expected
to resume until June

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at best, or even later.

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And the millions of
AstraZeneca doses promised

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by the Biden
administration won't

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be enough, or come soon enough.

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Neither will Moderna's vaccine.

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Up to a half billion
doses will be supplied

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to low and middle
income countries,

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but not until later this year.

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Right now there
isn't equal access.

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So what is the impact of that?

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WILLIS AKHWALE: The impact of
that is that maybe we are going

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to prolong this
pandemic much longer

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than it would have happened
if there was equal access.

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DAVID MCKENZIE: Researchers
at Duke University tracking

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dose availability say the
vaccine freeze could have

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catastrophic consequences with
some African countries facing

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yet another wave of the virus.

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ANDREA TAYLOR: They did put
a lot of eggs in the Serum

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Institute basket, and
that was a strategic error

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given that what has happened in
India was entirely predictable.

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It should not have caught
any of us by surprise.

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DAVID MCKENZIE:
COVAX maintains it's

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trying to diversify its
supply, but it may be too late.

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David McKenzie,
CNN, Johannesburg.