1 00:00:01,134 --> 00:00:02,268 DAVID MCKENZIE: The awful consequence 2 00:00:02,369 --> 00:00:04,838 of a COVID-19 tsunami. 3 00:00:04,938 --> 00:00:06,639 It's forcing the Indian government 4 00:00:06,740 --> 00:00:10,777 to ban all vaccine exports to COVAX, the global vaccine 5 00:00:10,877 --> 00:00:15,048 alliance so it can give precious doses to its own people, 6 00:00:15,148 --> 00:00:19,652 immediately impacting at least 90 million COVAX doses. 7 00:00:19,753 --> 00:00:23,556 The crisis in India is causing a crisis here. 8 00:00:23,656 --> 00:00:27,794 Kenyan and other African nations where lives depend on COVAX 9 00:00:27,894 --> 00:00:29,929 are running out of vaccines. 10 00:00:30,030 --> 00:00:34,067 And tour guide, Martin Mutisya is one of the very last Kenyans 11 00:00:34,167 --> 00:00:37,404 to get his first AstraZeneca shot. 12 00:00:37,504 --> 00:00:39,272 MARTIN MUTISYA: [laughs] It is a big moment. 13 00:00:39,372 --> 00:00:41,007 I'm feeling excited. 14 00:00:41,107 --> 00:00:45,011 Um, I think we just have to wait and see what happens. 15 00:00:45,111 --> 00:00:47,447 DAVID MCKENZIE: Kenya got around a million doses 16 00:00:47,547 --> 00:00:51,317 from COVAX produced by India's Serum Institute. 17 00:00:51,418 --> 00:00:53,520 Kenya's supply dries up in days. 18 00:00:53,620 --> 00:00:55,155 MARTIN MUTISYA: I am concerned, because they 19 00:00:55,255 --> 00:00:56,923 are supposed to be two shots. 20 00:00:57,023 --> 00:00:58,291 I am concerned. 21 00:00:58,391 --> 00:01:01,561 But if it doesn't happen, what is the worst scenario? 22 00:01:01,661 --> 00:01:03,630 UHURU KENYATTA: I want to assure you 23 00:01:03,730 --> 00:01:07,467 that nobody who has taken the first dose 24 00:01:07,567 --> 00:01:09,569 is going to miss out on their second dose. 25 00:01:09,669 --> 00:01:10,770 DAVID MCKENZIE: Does this worry you? 26 00:01:10,870 --> 00:01:12,872 Because it seems that it could be 27 00:01:12,972 --> 00:01:16,042 a scenario that the second doses don't come in time. 28 00:01:16,142 --> 00:01:18,211 RUDI EGGERS: So very clearly it worries me, 29 00:01:18,311 --> 00:01:21,414 and very clearly the second doses will not come in time. 30 00:01:21,514 --> 00:01:23,817 DAVID MCKENZIE: A senior humanitarian official 31 00:01:23,917 --> 00:01:28,054 familiar with COVAX's plan told CNN that the Indian vaccine 32 00:01:28,154 --> 00:01:31,591 supply isn't expected to resume until June 33 00:01:31,691 --> 00:01:34,060 at best, or even later. 34 00:01:34,160 --> 00:01:36,729 And the millions of AstraZeneca doses promised 35 00:01:36,830 --> 00:01:39,032 by the Biden administration won't 36 00:01:39,132 --> 00:01:41,668 be enough, or come soon enough. 37 00:01:41,768 --> 00:01:43,870 Neither will Moderna's vaccine. 38 00:01:43,970 --> 00:01:46,506 Up to a half billion doses will be supplied 39 00:01:46,606 --> 00:01:48,775 to low and middle income countries, 40 00:01:48,875 --> 00:01:50,777 but not until later this year. 41 00:01:50,877 --> 00:01:52,979 Right now there isn't equal access. 42 00:01:53,079 --> 00:01:54,581 So what is the impact of that? 43 00:01:54,681 --> 00:01:56,883 WILLIS AKHWALE: The impact of that is that maybe we are going 44 00:01:56,983 --> 00:01:58,885 to prolong this pandemic much longer 45 00:01:58,985 --> 00:02:02,489 than it would have happened if there was equal access. 46 00:02:02,589 --> 00:02:05,125 DAVID MCKENZIE: Researchers at Duke University tracking 47 00:02:05,225 --> 00:02:08,294 dose availability say the vaccine freeze could have 48 00:02:08,394 --> 00:02:12,799 catastrophic consequences with some African countries facing 49 00:02:12,899 --> 00:02:14,834 yet another wave of the virus. 50 00:02:14,934 --> 00:02:16,836 ANDREA TAYLOR: They did put a lot of eggs in the Serum 51 00:02:16,936 --> 00:02:18,938 Institute basket, and that was a strategic error 52 00:02:19,038 --> 00:02:23,810 given that what has happened in India was entirely predictable. 53 00:02:23,910 --> 00:02:26,112 It should not have caught any of us by surprise. 54 00:02:26,212 --> 00:02:28,014 DAVID MCKENZIE: COVAX maintains it's 55 00:02:28,114 --> 00:02:32,485 trying to diversify its supply, but it may be too late. 56 00:02:32,585 --> 00:02:36,589 David McKenzie, CNN, Johannesburg.